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Friday, April 30, 2010

Rounds 1-7 Best Draft Value Selections













Dexter Davis - OLB - 7thRD/#236 - Seahawks

1st Round

#09 C.J. Spiller - RB - Bills
#11 Anthony Davis - OT - 49ers
#13 Brandon Graham - OLB - Eagles
#17 Mike Iupati - OG - 49ers
#18 Maurkice Pouncey - OC - Steelers
#23 Bryan Bulaga - OT - Packers
#28 Jared Odrick - DT - Dolphins
#29 Kyle Wilson - CB - Jets

2nd Round
#35 Brian Price - DT - Bucs
#40 Koa Misi - OLB - Dolphins
#42 Rob Gronkowski - TE - Patriots
#43 Sergio Kindle - OLB - Ravens
#44 Lamarr Houston - DT - Raiders
#52 Jason Worilds - OLB - Steelers
#57 Terrence Cody - NG - Ravens
#62 Brandon Spikes - ILB - Patriots

3rd Round
#68 Jon Asamoah - OG - Chiefs
#70 Ed Dickson - TE - Ravens
#71 Morgan Burnett - S - Packers
#79 Donald Butler - ILB - Chargers
#84 Jordan Shipley - WR/KR/PR - Bengals
#85 Colt McCoy - QB - Browns
#86 Daniel Te'o-Nesheim - OLB - Eagles
#87 Eric Decker - WR - Broncos
#90 Taylor Price - WR - Patriots
#91 Navorro Bowman - LB - 49ers
#92 Shawn Lauvao - OG - Browns
#93 Tony Moeaki - TE - Chiefs
#95 Jimmy Graham - Saints
#97 Rennie Curran - LB - Titans
#98 Mike Johnson - OG - Falcons

4th Round
#099 Mardy Gilyard - WR - Rams
#101 Mike Williams - WR - Bucs
#104 Alterraun Verner - CB - Titans
#105 Trevard Lindley - CB - Eagles
#107 Marcus Easley - WR - Bills
#109 Corey Wootton - DT - Bears
#113 Aaron Hernandez - TE - Patriots
#114 Dennis Pitta - TE - Ravens
#116 Thaddeus Gibson - OLB - Steelers
#118 Garrett Graham - TE - Texans
#130 O'Brien Schofield - OLB - Cardinals

5th Round
#132 Mike Hoomanawanui - TE - Rams
#137 Perrish Cox - CB - Broncos
#140 Edward Wang - OT - Bills
#157 Arthur Jones - DT - Ravens
#158 Matt Tennant - OC - Saints
#159 Riley Cooper - WR - Eagles
#165 Kerry Meier - WR - Falcons
#169 Marshall Newhouse - OG - Packers

6th Round
#174 Dennis Morris - TE - Redskins
#175 Greg Hardy - DE - Panthers
#177 Carlton Mitchell - WR - Browns
#181 Dan LeFevour - QB - Bears
#182 Nate Byham - TE - 49ers
#188 Jonathan Dwyer - RB - Steelers
#191 Dezmon Briscoe - WR - Bengals
#193 James Starks - RB - Packers
#195 Antonio Brown - WR/KR/PR - Steelers
#197 Trindon Holliday - ATH - Texans
#198 David Gettis - WR - Panthers
#199 Joe Webb - ATH - Vikings
#200 Charles Scott - RB/FB - Eagles
#206 Kyle Williams - WR/KR/PR - 49ers
#207 Myron Rolle - S - Titans

7th Round
#209 Levi Brown - QB - Bills (Top Value)
#213 Willie Young - DE/OLB - Lions
#214 Mickey Shuler - TE - Vikings
#217 Dekoda Watson - OLB - Bucs
#226 George Selvie - DE/OLB - Rams
#227 Dorin Dickerson - TE - Texans
#229 Erik Cook - OG - Redskins
#230 C.J. Wilson - DE - Packers
#231 Selvish Capers - OT - Redskins
#232 Jammie Kirlew - DE - Broncos
#236 Dexter Davis - OLB - Seahawks (Top Value)
#238 Ricardo Mathews - DT - Colts
#244 Kurt Coleman - S - Eagles
#246 Ray Fisher - CB - Colts (Top Value)
#247 Brandon Deaderick - DE - Patriots (Top Value)
#250 Zac Robinson - QB - Patriots


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Tuesday, April 27, 2010

NFL Team Draft Grades


















Brandon Deaderick - DE - Alabama - Patriots (7th RD)

When it comes to evaluating NFL teams drafts I may go about it a bit different than most. Value is most important in my mind. I may like a player, but what is more important is where that NFL team selects that player!


Here is a good example of excellent value. Though I may think DT Ndamukong Suh selected #2 overall in the 1st round by the Detroit Lions may be SLIGHTLY better than DT Lamarr Houston selected # 44 overall in the 2nd round. There is no question by far taking Lamarr Houston at #44 overall, who has a good chance of out performing Ndamukong Suh over the life of their careers, is the better value.

And if you were valuing a DT in the draft do you have any idea the amount of draft choices that can be accumulated moving back 42 selections to build your entire roster. Provided you have the knowledge of evaluating like teams this year like the Steelers, Ravens, Eagles, Patriots anything sound familiar? Find something in common with these type teams year after year? They are consistently playoff teams!

So when you look over my draft grades for these teams look in that mind set!

(A+) Team Draft Grades
NY Jets - value selections 4 of 4
Pittsburgh Steelers - except Stevenson Sylvester


(A) Team Draft Grades
Baltimore Ravens - except WR David Reed
Chicago Bears - except CB Joshua Moore
Green Bay Packers - except DT Michael Neal
Houston Texans - except CB Kareem Jackson, & Tate
San Francisco 49ers - except CB Phillip Adams
Washington Redskins - except LB Perry Riley


(B+) Team Draft Grades
Miami Dolphins - except Carroll & McCoy
New England Patriots - except McCourty, Welch, & Weston


(B) Team Draft Grades
Philadelphia Eagles - except Allen, Clayton, Harbor, & Chaney


(C+) Team Draft Grades
Carolina Panthers - except Edwards, Pugh, Pike, Stanford, & McClain
Minnesota Vikings - value selections Cook, Triplett, Webb, & Shuler
New Orleans Saints - value selections are Brown, Graham, & Tennant
San Diego Chargers - value selections are Butler, Stuckey, & Thomas
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - values Price, Benn, Lewis, Williams, & Watson


(C) Team Draft Grades
Buffalo Bills - value selections are Spiller, Easley, Wang, & QB Brown
Cincinnati Bengals - values Shipley, Atkins, Muckelroy, & Briscoe
Denver Broncos - value selections are Decker, Cox, & Kirlew
St. Louis Rams - values Saffold, Murphy, Gilyard, Hoomanawanui, & Selvie
Tennessee Titans - values Morgan, Curran, Verner, & Rolle


(D+) Team Draft Grades
Cleveland Browns - values McCoy, Lauvao, & Carlton Mitchell
Detroit Lions - value selections are Suh & Young
Indianapolis Colts - value selections are Thomas, Mathews, & Fisher
Seattle Seahawks - values Okung, Chancellor, Dexter Davis


(D) Team Draft Grades
Arizona Cardinals - value selections are Washington & Schofield
Atlanta Falcons - value selections are Johnson & Meier
Kansas City Chiefs - value selections are Asamoah & Moeaki
NY Giants - value selections are Joseph & Jones
Oakland Raiders - value selections are Houston & Campbell


(F) Team Draft Grades
Dallas Cowboys - value selections 0 of 6! WR Dez Bryant is at a developmental position. Meaning he will not provide the instant impact the #24 overall selection should bring like some believe

Jacksonville Jaguars
- value selections 0 of 6!


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Friday, April 23, 2010

NFL Draft 1st Round Recap & Sleepers To Look For!


















1) Rams - Sam Bradford (D value)
To me this selection was a big reach! Bradford in my opinion should sit for a year. Which drops his value in my opinion considerably. Above system QB at best.

2) Lions - Ndamukong Suh (-B value)
Suh is a no question quality NG or DT type. Though he is tough within the hashes he doesn't provide the versatility to bring it off the edge. So drops his overall value for the cap hit your taking.

3) Buccanears - Gerald McCoy (C+ value)
McCoy is a good prospect but not what I consider a dominate type prospect worthy of top 3 overall selection.

4) Redskins - Trent Williams (B value)
I like Williams overall athleticism & skill sets, but to take him 4th overall with his questionable wok habits??????????????????

5) Chiefs - Eric Berry (-B value)
I like Berry but I don't love Berry's overall game enough to take him #5 overall. Do you really feel he is a multiple pro bowler & possible Hall Of Fame type? Cause that is close to what you will need for where he was taken & cap hit!

6) Seahawks -Russell Okung (B+ value)
He is the most solid Offensive Tackle in this years draft, both on and off the field. And at #6 good value for a starting LT for years to come. Good foundation selection.

7) Browns - Joe Haden (C value)
What a reach when you easily could have gotten a better CB in Kyle Wilson 22 selections better. With all the help the Browns need they would have been best served dropping back and collecting more selections to fill holes. Because Haden isn't by any means a shutdown corner!

8) Raiders - Rolando McClain (-B value)
Good player but not impact player at the NFL level. Had him as more of a bottom of the 1st value selection.

9) Bils - C.J. Spiller (B+ value)
Though there may be durability questions (due to lack of heavy carries during collegiate career) Spiller not only is a homerun hitter, but reminds me of soon to be Hall Of Famer "Marshall Faulk" at RB. Enough said.

10) Jags - Tyson Alualu (C+ value)
I really do like Alualu's game on the field. But I had him valued as a mid 2nd - 3rd round prospect. But can provide versatiliy all along the D-Line, and brings it on an every down basis.

11) 49ers - Anthony Davis (B+ value)
Excellent value selection here. Because had Davis come out in the 2011 draft he would be a sure top 5 selection! Now there are maturity & conditioning issues to deal with but boy will Davis help both in the run & passing game!

12) Chargers - Ryan Mathews (B value)
He is only a B value selection because he lacks gamebreaking ability. He is a three down player who can stay on the field on any down. Though he has all the facets in his game other than top level speed. But #12 selection is a bit high for this player.

13) Eagles - Brandon Graham (A value)
I had him rated as a top 15 overall talent. He is non stop motor in motion. Who shows a passion for the game, and is equally as talented coming of the edge vs O-Lineman. And making his way to the QB!

14) Seahawks - Earl Thomas (F value)
Earl Thomas in my evaluation of him is soooooooooo overrated. He lacks the catchup speed, hesitates to initiate first contact with ball carriers, and many other not so flattering traits.
PROSPECT PROFILE ON < http://1stdownscouting.blogspot.com/2010/04/fs-earl-thomas-texas.html >

15) Giants - Jason Pierre-Paul (B value)
Unfortantley I have had a lack of evaluation time on this prospect so really don't want to give much of an analysis on. So on reported athleticism alone lets say he has a chance.

16) Titans - Derrick Morgan (C value)
A bit of a reach here to me. A solid performer but not an impact player.

17) 49ers - Mike Iupati (-B value)
May have been a bit of a reach, but a player with a mean streak, and who brings it on an every down basis. Massive O-Lineman who has a high ceiling to become a dominate force within the interior of the line!

18) Steelers - Maurkice Pouncey (-A value)
Pouncey has the projected upside to be a perineal All-Pro at either center or guard. Excellent value here by the Steelers.

19) Falcons - Sean Weatherspoon (C+ value)
He is a good safe selection here. Lacks impact to be selected here.

20) Texans - Kareem Jackson (F value)
He is soooooooooooo overrated
PROSPECT PROFILE ON < http://1stdownscouting.blogspot.com/2010/04/cb-kareem-jackson-alabama.html >

21) Bengals - Jermaine Gresham (-C value)
His athleticism and big play ability has been widely over hyped. He lacks the first step explosion that will allow him to gain consistent cushion versus defenders, and will prevent him from converting explosion plays of 20+ yards in his NFL career.

22) Broncos - Demaryius Thomas (A value)
He was my #1 rated WR coming into the draft! Was great to see Thomas selected over Dez Bryant. His upside and physical skill sets far out weigh anyone in this draft. Not willing to say he is a Calvin Johnson clone, but he is an no question impact player waiting to happen!

23) Packers - Bryan Bulaga (B+ value)
He is a solid solid solid offensive tackle in this years draft. He went a bit below my projection, making him a good value. At best he will be your LT for years to come. At worse he is your RT for years to come.

24) Cowboys - Dez Bryant (C value)
Bryant just doesn't show me the consistent first step explosion, and burst in and out of cuts to make him an elite WR prospect to keep it to a minimum.

25) Broncos - Tim Tebow (F value)
Horrible selection here. Read profile below!
PROSPECT PROFILE ON < http://1stdownscouting.blogspot.com/2010/04/tim-tebow-player-profile.html >

26) Cardinals - Dan Williams (-C value)
I like Williams as a mid 2nd - 3rd round value. But this was too much of a reach here by the Cards!

27) Patriots - Devin McCourty (-C value)
Wow what was Belichick and the Pats brain trust thinking of on this selection? I like McCourty and feel he is a solid prospect, but more like a end of the 2nd - 3rd round prospect. Hmmmmmm????????????

28) Dolphins - Jared Odrick (B+ value)
Right about where I had him going. This was excellent value here by the Miami here. Odrick ultimately will be a dominate force within the interior area as 4-3 DT or eventual NG in a 3-4. His first step explosion and motor for the game is unique!

29) Jets - Kyle Wilson (A+ value)
Boy the Jets hit it big here. I had Wilson rated as my #1 CB in this years draft! He likes to mix it up on both the run & pass. Shows excellent instincts as pass defender. and even provides extra value as a better than average PR as well!

30) Lions - Jahvid Best (-D value)
What a reach here! In my opinion Best is not even a true between the tackles runner at the NFL level. I had him rated as an Athlete not running back in my ratings. Lions really blew it here.

31) Colts - Jerry Hughes (????)
Hard for me to rate because really didn't see much evaluation time on Hughes. Wouldn't want to give analysis on.

32) Saints - Patrick Robinson (????)
Robinson is another prospect I dind't get as much evaluation on. In limited evaluation on he flashed good overall athleticism for the position, but not sure of insincts & skill sets?????


When will someone take a "few" of my draft sleepers??????????
Kevin Basped - DE/OLB - Nevada
Carson Blackmon - FS - Houston
Marcellus Bowman - SS - Boston College
Levi Brown - QB - Troy
Alex Daniels - OLB - Cincinnati
Dexter Davis - OLB - Arizona State
Carlton Mitchell - WR - South Florida
Mike Newton - SS - Buffalo
Devin Ross - CB - Arizona
Ike Whitaker - QB - VA Tech
Keiland Williams - RB - LSU

(CB) Kareem Jackson -- Alabama




















*#03 *5-11 *192lbs *4.50/40 *2010/JR

CORNERBACK

Strengths

He is an early entry prospect who declared for the draft as a Junior. He is a player who would have benefited greatly to another year of seasoning at the collegiate level.




Weaknesses
Consistently shows hesitation initiating contact with opponents

Lacks the competitiveness needed at next level

Consistently doesn't measure up in pass coverage

Lacks impact plays (convert on opportunities coming his way)

Projected Round
2nd Round

My Value Board
Undrafted Free Agent

Summary
Bottom line where did he get the advice to come out early? Horrible short and long term decision in my opinion! He looked to lack the confidence, looked lost in pass coverage, and athletically I didn't see it!

BIO LINK
http://www.rolltide.com/sports/m-footbl/mtt/jackson_kareem00.html

STATS LINK
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/player/profile?playerId=237207

(FS) Earl Thomas -- Texas
























*#12 *5-10 *195lbs *4.45/40 *2010/JR

FREE SAFETY

Strengths

He is an underclassman who declared for the NFL draft early. And whose play indicates he would have
benefited greatly from, at least, another year of seasoning at the collegiate level!

Weaknesses
Displays poor tackling skills (doesn't wrap up, uses shoulders & lunges, instead of running through ball carriers)

Hesitant delivering blows (doesn't initiate contact)

Where is his run support (too often standing over pile after the play)

Lacks natural instincts and consistent recovery speed in pass defense

He disappears for long stretches of the game (where are the consistent big plays)

Durability concerns with thin build (especially in lower leg area - where power is generated)

Projected Round
1st Round

My Value Board
Undrafted Free Agent

Summary
He is a vastly overrated prospect. Whose play on the field doesn't measure up to his press clippings

BIO LINK
http://www.mackbrown-texasfootball.com/sports/m-footbl/mtt/thomas_earl00.html

STATS LINK
http://espn.go.com/ncf/player/profile?playerId=236787

VIDEO LINK
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WK_tq6nqCPU

Thursday, April 15, 2010

(QB) Levi Brown -- Troy



































*#12 *6-4 *229lbs *4.93/40 *2010/SR

QUARTERBACK

Strengths

He is without a doubt one of the biggest under the radar quarterback talents when you think of legitimate high caliber, down the road drafted starting quarterbacks in the league.

He possesses ideal size and athleticism for the position. Reminds me of a larger and a bit more athletic version of former NFL league MVP quarterback "Rich Gannon".

He displays a quick setup and good balance in the pocket. With solid ball handling skills, which goes a long way into selling plays to the defense, and throwing them off balance.

He displays good poise and calmness under pressure situations. All the while standing tall in the pocket leading his team downfield. He is a quick and decisive decision maker with the ball. Showing multiple progression reads throughout pass plays.

He shows effective toughness and escapability often times breaking would be tacklers within the pocket, and still maintaining good presence of mind keeping his eyes downfield in the passing game. He has a bit of a gunslinger or riverboat mentality. Meaning he doesn't allow the possibility of failure to control his play on the field.

He shows good timing & effectiveness on the variety of passes needed to be successful at the next level. He possesses a picture perfect delivery, release point, and follow through across the body.

He displays good placement, timing, and touch on balls thrown to receivers. Which many times benefits them gaining additional yardage after catch (YAC). He shows a live arm with velocity to spare. And a consistent spiraled tight rope, with plenty of arm strength on downfield throws. With the ability to throw across his body effectively, and complete passes without having to set his feet. Which is rare.

He displays his versatility using his athleticism to extend plays in the passing game, rolling out moving the pocket left or right avoiding pressure, and showing the ability to make effective throws on the run.

He further shows his athleticism when pressured to leave the pocket, and frequently picking up positive yardageas a legitimate dual threat behind center.

Weaknesses
At times judgment and decision making questioned staring down primary receivers (making him susceptible to the interception)

His passing mechanics tend to breakdown at times when he is on the move

Projected Round
7th Round

My Value Board
Bottom Of 4th Round Not a reflection of his skill level, but more a reflection of good value. Selecting a QB this low in the draft and having a high probability of not only starting, but having a very successful career behind center! Is a selection I would take every time!

Summary
There is no question if this quarterback is given the time to marinate and mature on the sidelines for a year or two, he will become a highly effective starting NFL quarterback.

BIO LINK
http://www.troytrojans.com/ViewArticle.dbml?SPSID=87291&SPID=10377&DB_OEM_ID=17200&ATCLID=1147126&Q_SEASON=2009

STATS LINK
http://espn.go.com/ncf/player/profile?playerId=172944

VIDEO LINK
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3pgLJdyBh0

(RB) DaJuane Collins -- Toledo
































*#22 *5-10 *212lbs *4.57/40 *2010/SR

RUNNING BACK

Strengths

He has to be one of the more unheralded talented running backs coming out in this years 2010 NFL Draft.

He possesses a good size/ measuarable combination with a sturdy phyiscal build to his frame. He has a distinct running style making him comparable to none. Originality can be a good thing.

He is a patient runner with good instincts. Displaying excellent balance, a low center of gravity, good vision, and cutback ability. He is a one cut runner who once he finds an opening explodes through the hole bringing a physical mentality to his teams running attack. Possessing exceptional feet, lateral movement, and strong shifty hips that makes him a handful for anyone to handle.

He displays the versatility to run effectively between the tackles and keeping defenses honest hitting the corners and bouncing it to the outside on defenses. He makes his bread and butter though as an inside runner. Exhibiting excellent leg drive, and the ability to consistently gain yardage after contact.

He shows no hesitation lowering a shoulder initiating first contact to oncoming defenders, and consistently gaining yards after contact (YAC). Frequently ending runs with a good forward lean after last contact from defenders. Which makes him an excellent candidate as an effective short yardage and goal line runner.

Once he breaks into the open his vision and quickness become very evident. Using his balance and fluid hips to throw defenders off balance on his way to gaining extra yardage upfield. Often times showing a surprising second gear keeping defenses on their heels

He is a reliable threat out of the backfield displaying effortless pass catching skills. Making a quick transition gaining valuable yardage upfield. His pass catching ability is an area of his game that went under utilized during his collegiate career. Adding value to his draft status and making him that much closer to becoming the total package.

Weaknesses
Lacks large body of production at collegiate level

Durability issues

Lacks true breakaway speed

Improved effectiveness avoiding defenders in space

Projected Round
Undrafted Free Agent

My Value Board
6th Round - Undrafted Free Agent

Summary
DaJuane would be most effective with a team dedicated to a physical ball control running game. He reminds me of current NFL running back "Shonn Greene" with his physical running style and ability to wear down defenses over the course of games. He gets stronger as the game moves along. Give him the ball!

BIO LINK
http://www.utrockets.com/ViewArticle.dbml?SPSID=94569&SPID=10708&DB_OEM_ID=18000&ATCLID=1479481

STATS LINK
http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/player/profile?playerId=169440

VIDEO LINK
http://www.blinkx.com/video/dajuane-collins-td-run/nThNMVCvK5YhYEOd6OtOzg